The pulse
Final report · FIFA World Cup 2026
Total volume traded
$5.72B
How much money moved on Polymarket across every match and market of the tournament — the complete record, first kickoff to final.
World champions
Spain
Matches played
104 / 104
100% played
The market called 63.5% of matches right
1X2 volume
$2,731M
Over/under volume
$2,987M
$5,718MTotal volume
- 1X2 volume$2,731M48%
- Over/under volume$2,987M52%
Volume flow
ShowingTotal
Insights
💰 Argentina leads all teams — $816.3M traded
📈 Total goals (Over/Under) is the busiest market — 34% of over/under volume
The stories
The draw paradox
+$41.53
Backing the draw every match returned +$41.53 at a 27.9% hit rate.
The great surprise
92.5%
Spain went in at 92.5% — and the market was wrong.
The final's twist
$212M
Spain won in extra time — the 1X2 market settled on the draw.
The smartest money
$400.8K
0x076d…8d4c banked $400.8K across the tournament.
Top matches
Market signal
Was the market right?
64% The market's favorite won 64% of 104 played matches
